Posts by Highland
September 2023
Summary Markets declined further in September, marking a second consecutive down month for both stocks and bonds. Interest rates marched higher, and the Treasury curve flattened with the 10-year yield topping 4.6% late in the month; mortgage rates also ended higher. On the economic front, the United Auto Workers initiated the first phase of a…
Read MoreAugust 2023
Summary Markets seemed to wilt in the summer heat of August before staging a small rally at month-end to pare earlier losses. On August 1st, Fitch downgraded its rating for U.S. government debt from AAA to AA+, sparking an equity and interest rate sell-off that persisted for three weeks. Later in the month, encouraging economic…
Read MoreJuly 2023
Summary Stocks moved higher in July, and interest rates edged upward. While much of the country dealt with scorching temperatures, inflation continued to cool; June’s CPI of 3% marked a new low off 2022’s peak. Consumer confidence and the labor market both continued to improve. Following a pause in June, the Fed hiked the fund…
Read MoreJune 2023
Summary Global equity markets moved higher in June. Boosted by resilient consumer spending and technology sectors, U.S. stocks led the way, as equities continued to rebound from 2022’s losses. Inflation cooled to 4% through May, its lowest level in over two years, prompting the Federal Reserve to pause in their tightening cycle, and ending a…
Read MoreMay 2023
Summary Most major indexes moved lower in May on volatile trading. With the U.S. Treasury warning that a deal would be needed to raise the debt ceiling by the first week of June to avoid a default, President Biden and House Speaker McCarthy spent most of the month haggling over various proposals before settling on…
Read MoreApril 2023
Summary In the wake of a volatile close to the first quarter of the year, April provided investors an opportunity to catch their breath. Economic data (and asset returns) were mixed during the month with investors favoring stable, established, “new economy” names, and interest rate movements were relatively subdued. U.S. GDP growth for the first…
Read MoreMarch 2023
Summary The Federal Reserve’s quest for a soft landing hit a pocket of turbulence in March, with trouble in the banking sector clouding the outlook for interest rates and economic growth. For a few banks with concentrated high-dollar depositors and mismatched asset portfolios with unrealized losses from low-yielding legacy treasury bond exposures, the pressure of…
Read MoreFebruary 2023
Summary With 2022 in the rearview mirror, a year one would like to forget, markets in January kicked off afresh with positive returns across asset classes. The first inflation news for 2023 showed a continuation of the recent easing trend, as December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 6.5% marked the lowest 12-month change since late…
Read MoreReframing Our Perspective
“What I am looking for is a blessing not in disguise.” Jerome K. Jerome In response to aphorisms like “adversity builds character,” and “what doesn’t kill you makes you stronger,” is the honest plea from 19th century humorist Jerome K. Jerome, “What I am looking for is a blessing not in disguise.” While hard to…
Read MoreJanuary 2023
Summary With 2022 in the rearview mirror, a year one would like to forget, markets in January kicked off afresh with positive returns across asset classes. The first inflation news for 2023 showed a continuation of the recent easing trend, as December’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 6.5% marked the lowest 12-month change since late…
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