April 2024

Summary After a robust start to the year, stocks pulled back for the first time in April. The broad selloff was fueled by diminishing hopes for Fed interest rate cuts, geopolitical worries, and a lower than forecast level of GDP growth in the first quarter. Interest rates moved higher for the month as bonds continue…

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Forecasting Equity Returns – What Can I Count On in 2024? Part Three: Smoke and Mirrors Day – A Celebration of Small Caps, Global Funds and Emerging Markets

Photo credit: Pixabay A three-part conversation with Highland Consulting Associates. Over the past several weeks we have been considering what you can expect from investment returns in 2024—or, rather, whether you can count on 2024 predictions at all. We’ve organized this series into three parts (see Part One and Part Two)  to cover the major…

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Forecasting Equity Returns – What Can I Count On in 2024? Part Two: What are the Pieces of the Pie? (And Is Your Pie Getting Smaller?)

Photo credit: Pixabay A three-part conversation with Highland Consulting Associates. In the next several weeks we’ll consider what you can expect from investment returns in 2024—or, rather, whether you can count on 2024 predictions at all. We’ll break this series into three parts to cover the major areas of investment opportunities beginning with historical returns,…

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March 2024

Summary Returns were positive across the board for major global asset classes in March. For large cap developed markets stocks, the close of the first quarter of 2024 marked the 5th consecutive month of positive returns, while for bonds, March offered some welcomed relief after a slow start to the year. The rally was truly…

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SVB – A Year After the Bank’s Collapse

Photo Credit: Alexey Yarkin Short-sighted, Vulnerable, Broke Nearly a year ago, Silicon Valley Bank failed. On March 8, 2023, SVB announced a $1.75 billion capital raising effort, offering its common stock and depository shares. As the announcement moved through media outlets, the message heard was this: SVB is short on capital and it may not…

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February 2024

Summary Markets were mixed in February, with strong equity returns rising to new highs, continuing to ride a wave of AI-powered optimism. Treasury yields rose for the month, with most of the pain centered around the January CPI release that came in higher than expected and a better than expected jobs report. Non-U.S. markets experienced…

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January 2024

Summary Markets broadly got off to a poor start in 2024, punctuated by a final-day of January sell-off in U.S. equities. Economic indicators showed a sturdy jobs market and strong holiday spending from consumers. Inflation numbers for December came in slightly above expectations but remained moderate at 0.3% for the month. Interest rates carried 2023’s…

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