Mark Baker, ASA, CAIA

Mark is a key member of Highland’s research and client service teams. He is deeply involved in asset allocation, risk modeling, and performance attribution. Mark also has an active role in client report review, including asset/liability reporting and preparing related scorecards. Mark graduated Summa Cum Laude with a B.A. in Mathematics from Cleveland State University. He is an Associate of the Society of Actuaries.

Recent Posts

Surprise! (Surprise Again!) Three factors pension plan sponsors should consider as the IRS makes (another) surprise move on lump sum payouts.

In a surprise move during the summer of 2015, the Treasury Department and the IRS announced that defined benefit (DB) plan sponsors would be restricted from offering lump sums to retirees receiving annuity payments. The reasoning behind this move seemed clear. Asking retirees to choose between continued annuity income and a lump sum, given the retirees’ general informational disadvantage, seemed to introduce potential conflicts. During that time and under President Obama’s administration, the IRS expressed concern about participants being shortchanged on the value of their vested benefits if they switched from life-long monthly payments to a lump-sum distribution once payouts were underway. This protection also kept the investment and longevity risks of pension plans squarely on the shoulders of plan sponsors. So while the suddenness of the move was unexpected, the rationale was consistent with the protective stance that U.S. regulators have adopted with regard to DB plans.

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There’s No Time like the Present, and other lessons on…

Defined Benefit Funding Levels, Contribution Relief, and Unintended Consequences

At the close of 2012, pension funding levels for a broad set of defined benefit plans sat in the high-seventies. Sponsors had weathered the massive equity losses of the 2008 global financial crisis (GFC), and subsequent plummeting interest rates, and they seemed poised to recoup their losses. The markets would be kind to investors over the next half-decade with the S&P 500 nearly doubling in price, generating a cumulative total return in excess of 100%, and outpacing long duration fixed income (a proxy for pension liabilities) substantially.

Figure 1

So how did sponsors fare? Not as well as one might expect, given the data above.

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How Will Defined Benefit Plan Sponsors Deliver on Pension Promises?

Just a few months ago, UPS announced to 70,000 non-union workers that their pension benefits would be frozen. In order to manage a deficit in U.S. pension obligations of nearly $10 billion, affected workers will stop accruing pension benefits on January 1, 2023. On that date, the package carrier will instead begin contributing 5-8% of salaries into 401(k) savings accounts.

UPS is not alone in making difficult decisions that impact defined benefit (DB) plan funding, and in turn, corporate earnings, balance sheet stability, and the futures of thousands of long-serving employees. With collective unfunded pension obligations among S&P 1500 companies totaling $391 billion at the end of February 2017 (Mercer) and interest rates languishing at historic lows, a majority of employers are reckoning with the same dilemma.

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US Bond Market Liquidity

 

The predictability and smooth-functioning of bond performance during the recent, protracted period of low interest rates has led to record corporate bond issuance.

Investors seeking a safe place for their assets have moved into bond markets. And there has been no shortage of bonds to buy. But these “safe investments” that have provided protection from a volatile stock market can themselves become traps without thoughtful consideration of rebalancing and exit plan strategies.

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